The purpose of this study is to determine why intelligence officers acting as battalion S-2 have difficulty predicting the enemy. It hypothesizes that two causes: lack of experience of the principal officers conducting IPB and inadequate emphasis...
The construct for predictive analysis is based on the unfounded assumption that technologies and sound analysis will dissipate uncertainty in war. U.S. military doctrine shows an expectation for prediction from the intelligence process; it assumes...
This monograph discusses the nature of tactical intelligence prediction in military operations. Such prediction is extremely complex and involves a broad range of factors from traditional military ones such as terrain and doctrine to more...
This monograph finds that the US Army's decision making process taught in its schools and branch courses relies too heavily on an iterative analytical method called the Deliberate Decision Making Process or DDMP. Within this process there exists a...
The art and science of military intelligence analysis has been scrutinized for its accuracy and value since the beginning of warfare. With every advance in technology and information processing, the delta between the trained cognitive capabilities...
This study contrasts two opposing theories which have shaped the U.S. Army's tactical intelligence process since 1940. One theory holds that the best kind of tactical intelligence is predictive in nature. The other theory states that tactical...
This thesis examines predictions journalists made during the Gulf War, to include whether or not force would be used, and, if so, how. Predictions that might have caused security violations were examined, as was the military's use of the media to...
Why has an S2 never won a wargame when playing predicted enemy courses of action against a friendly course of action during the Military Decision Making Process (MDMP)? Why did the V Corps commander during Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) respond to...
The Department of Defense is also in the process of reevaluating its contribution to homeland security in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks. Of particular concern is the DoD plan for assisting civilian authorities in consequence management...
This manual treats of the theory and practice of gunnery, fire control, and position finding for antiaircraft artillery guns. A knowledge of the fundamentals of exterior ballistics and gunnery as covered in FM 4-10 will be helpful in understanding...
The Joint Non-Kinetic Effects Model (JNEM) is a computer based simulation for training Division and Corps Commanders and Staffs in a manner that accurately replicates the complexities of interacting with civilian populations. The model replicates...
This monograph examines the effectiveness of intelligence preparation of the battlefield (IPB) at battalion level. The U.S. Army's current warfighting doctrine, AirLand Battle, relies heavily on intelligence. For more than a decade, IPB has been...
This study examines military operations in overlapping fallout fields. The purpose is to delineate problems likely to face commanders operating in overlapping contamination patterns, to outline solutions, and to indicate problem areas that might...
The purpose of this study is to identify a decision-making process appropriate to the nature of operational art. The monograph characterizes the process by which the operational level commander perceives the mission and the current situation, makes...
This manual treats of the position finding, control, and illumination phenomena pertaining to antiaircraft searchlights. It is broken down into the following topics: sound location, acoustic correctors, searchlights, searchlight control, control...
All three of these FA commands-the corps artillery headquarters, the division artillery, and the FA brigade-play significant roles in the Air Land Battle. They exercise effective and responsive command and control. They ensure the rapid, lethal,...
This 1962 manual is a guide for unit commanders, staff officers, and section leaders in the tactics and technique of the employment of the field artillery target acquisition battalion and batteries.
This 1962 manual is a guide for unit commanders, staff officers, and section leaders in the tactics and technique of the employment of the field artillery target acquisition battalion and batteries.